Excess Death Stats


This page uses statistics that were available for Denmark at 4 April 2024

Why have there been so many deaths in Denmark?

In 2022, the death rate in Denmark was 7.8% higher than it was for the five pre-pandemic years, our analysis of data from Statistics Denmark shows.

And in 2023 the death rate was still abnormally high – 5.6% above the pre-pandemic rate.

The graph below is the standard graph we produce for all the countries we examine. It looks only at annual data when it has been finalised by the country’s statistical office. It uses death rates – which are deaths per population – because that helps to allow for the effects of migration into or out of the country.

Each point on the graph compares the death rate in that year with the average death rate in the preceding five years. The exception is the covid era (2020 onwards) when we compare death rates with the average death rate in the five years before the pandemic (2015-2019).

You might ask whether it is unusual for the death rate to be 7.8% higher than normal, as it was in 2022? Well yes, it is. The graph goes back to 1955, and over those 67 years the highest annual increase in the death rate was only 5.4%, which happened twice – in 1976 and 1980.

The graph can be downloaded here

What is the total number of excess deaths over the pandemic?

We calculate that there have been about 10,500 more deaths than would have been expected in Denmark over the four years from the start of 2020 to the end of 2023. The calculation is shown in the spreadsheet, which can be downloaded here.

The total death toll equates to 35 crashes of a plane the size of an Airbus A330-300 with the loss of everyone on board. (This plane holds about 300 passengers and crew.)

When there is a real plane crash, there is a detailed and thorough investigation to determine the root cause. But after the equivalent of 35 such crashes, the problem of these excess deaths is being ignored!

A closer look at 2022

This year had the highest number of excess deaths, so let’s look at it more closely. Translating the 7.8% increase in the death rate into numbers of excess deaths, we calculate that 4,256 Danes died prematurely in 2022.

What did these people die from? Was it covid?

Danish data from the National Health Data Agency (Sundhedsdatastyrelsen) shows 1,590 deaths from covid in 2022. These are deaths in which covid was judged to be the underlying cause of death.

So, this means that at least two thirds of the excess deaths – 2,666 Danish people – were from something other than covid.

Furthermore, many people who died from covid were very old and frail, and would perhaps have died from something else in 2022 anyway. This means it isn’t correct to assume that every death ‘from covid’ was an excess death because by definition, excess deaths are unexpected and premature.

And even if one third of the excess deaths were from covid, why would this be so, given Danes were told that the covid vaccines would protect them from death?

We must call for the raw data on vaccine history for every ‘covid’ death, giving dates of every injection, date of death, and the age and sex of the person. That will enable independent experts to tell whether the vaccines worked as we were all promised.

Do these excess deaths matter?

Thinking in terms of plane crashes, the excess deaths in 2022 equates to 14 crashes that year.

If we exclude deaths from covid (remembering that these need to be investigated too as explained above), that still leaves the number of extra people dead in 2022 as equal to nine plane crashes, without a murmur from Danish media or politicians. What is going on?

Contrast with 2020

In 2020 covid was spreading through Denmark, though presumably slowed by lockdowns. None of the population had received covid vaccinations because they had not yet been rolled out. We calculate that there were about 700 excess deaths in 2020.

According to data from the National Health Data Agency 1,080 people died from covid in 2020. This confirms that not every death from covid is an excess death – in fact it suggests that at most 65% of such deaths were unexpected. It’s also possible that lockdowns, and maybe other factors, contributed to excess deaths.

The 700 excess deaths in 2020 were a fraction of the 4,256 seen in 2022. Why were there so many deaths in 2022, when milder strains of covid were circulating and the population was supposedly protected by vaccination?

What about 2023?

The death rate in Denmark in 2023 was still unusually high. Statistics Denmark currently gives a death rate of 98 people per 10,000 population which is 5.6% greater than the death rate in the five pre-pandemic years. We calculate that this means that 3,091 Danes died prematurely in 2023. That’s equivalent to 10 plane crashes, with no investigation into the cause.

We can’t analyse this data further because figures for deaths from covid in 2023 are not yet available from the National Health Data Agency.

We must call for an investigation!

If you are concerned about these numbers, please take action. Share the information on this page with your MP and ask for the raw data to be released and an independent investigation to be carried out.

Some of these extra deaths will probably be from covid, but not as many as you may think. And could it be that some of them have been caused by the Danish government’s response to covid?

Could lockdowns have caused some extra deaths? Could the new genetic covid vaccines have caused some of them? Could hospital treatments for covid have been inappropriate? These hypotheses must not be ignored, but instead need to be objectively and scientifically tested. There is nothing wrong with asking questions – indeed that is the process of science.

We call for all the raw anonymised data of deaths from all causes by age, time, and location, with their covid vaccination history, to be made available to independent researchers.

Thank you to Danish volunteers Rasmus O Firla-Holme and Jakob Hansen for their work in providing the information, without which this page would not exist. Thank you also to other members of the Nordic excess deaths team of volunteers: Mattias Johansson and Tore Gulbrandsen for their contributions.

Data sources

All data was downloaded on 26th March 2024

Mortality rates per 10,000 population: https://www.statistikbanken.dk/HISB3